Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sochi win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Akhmat Grozny has a probability of 26.79% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win is 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).