Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
56.88% ( -0.02)	23.57% ( -0.04)	19.54% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.24% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

0.23)

50.65% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.44% (

0.2)

72.56% (

-0.2)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.07)

17.6% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

0.13)

48.18% (

-0.12)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

0.2)

40.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.18)

76.86% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 56.88%

Akhmat Grozny 19.54%

Draw 23.57%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.54%