Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	CSKA Moscow
19.24%	22.1%	58.65%

Both teams to score 53.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05%

44.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7%

67.3%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75%

37.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96%

74.04%

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01%

14.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55%

43.45%

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 19.24%

CSKA Moscow 58.65%

Draw 22.1%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 5.52% 2-1 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 2.72% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.24%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.1%	0-1 @ 10.6% 0-2 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 6.28% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-4 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-5 @ 1.15% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.58% Total : 58.65%