SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
31.05% ( 0.25) | 27.04% ( -0.05) | 41.91% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.27) | 55.4% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% ( 0.22) | 76.6% ( -0.22) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( 0.32) | 32.73% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% ( 0.35) | 69.29% ( -0.35) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.02) | 26.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( 0.03) | 61.14% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.91% |
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