SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
34.07% ( 0.08) | 26.11% ( 0.12) | 39.82% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( -0.47) | 50.87% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( -0.42) | 72.75% ( 0.42) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.18) | 28.43% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.23) | 64.19% ( 0.23) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( -0.31) | 25.13% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.16% ( -0.44) | 59.84% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.82% |
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