Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
49.35% ( 0.63)	24.21% ( -0.08)	26.44% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 55.71% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.76% (

-0.06)

46.23% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

-0.05)

68.52% (

0.05)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.23)

18.79% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79% (

0.39)

50.21% (

-0.39)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

-0.46)

31.4% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

-0.53)

67.77% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Sochi 49.35%

Dynamo Moscow 26.44%

Draw 24.2%

Sochi	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 49.35%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.44%