SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
46.18% ( -0.23) | 25.02% ( 0.31) | 28.8% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( -1.37) | 48.18% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( -1.27) | 70.34% ( 1.27) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( -0.66) | 20.9% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( -1.04) | 53.62% ( 1.04) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.76) | 30.63% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.91) | 66.88% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.8% |
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