SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Rostov |
56.26% ( 1.15) | 22.98% ( -0.09) | 20.76% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.89) | 46.67% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( -0.84) | 68.94% ( 0.84) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( 0.08) | 16.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( 0.15) | 46.04% ( -0.15) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -1.54) | 36.67% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( -1.58) | 73.46% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.76% |
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