SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
51.51% ( -0.51) | 24.76% ( 0.03) | 23.72% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.32) | 50.83% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.28) | 72.72% ( -0.28) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( -0.08) | 19.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( -0.13) | 51.74% ( 0.13) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( 0.62) | 36.17% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( 0.62) | 72.95% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.73% |
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