SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.74%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
16.77% ( -0.13) | 25.99% ( -0.11) | 57.23% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.5% ( 0.19) | 62.5% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.9% ( 0.14) | 82.1% ( -0.13) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.41% ( -0.06) | 50.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.94% ( -0.04) | 85.06% ( 0.05) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0.18) | 22.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( 0.27) | 55.45% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.96% Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 16.87% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.74% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.23% |
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