SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
61.12% ( 0.02) | 21.83% ( -0.01) | 17.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( 0.02) | 47.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( 0.02) | 69.44% ( -0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0.02) | 14.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.63% ( 0.02) | 43.38% ( -0.02) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% | 41.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.35% ( -0) | 77.66% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.05% |
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