SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Sochi | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sochi | 4 | 1 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a CSKA Moscow win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
62.95% ( 0.12) | 20.09% ( -0.05) | 16.95% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.08) | 39.59% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.05% ( 0.09) | 61.94% ( -0.09) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.99% ( 0.06) | 12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.55% ( 0.13) | 37.44% ( -0.13) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( -0.04) | 36.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( -0.04) | 73.43% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 16.95% |
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