SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a CSKA Moscow win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
22.58% ( 0.4) | 25.64% ( 0.22) | 51.77% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.43) | 55.24% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.53% ( -0.36) | 76.47% ( 0.35) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( 0.15) | 39.7% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.62% ( 0.14) | 76.38% ( -0.14) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -0.44) | 21.38% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( -0.68) | 54.36% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.1% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.77% |
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