SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
55.66% ( 0.06) | 23.87% ( -0.04) | 20.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.12) | 50.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.11) | 72.61% ( -0.11) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.07) | 18.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 0.12) | 48.98% ( -0.12) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( 0.05) | 75.98% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.46% |
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