SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
41.11% ( 0) | 23.87% | 35.02% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.01) | 40.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( 0.01) | 62.9% ( -0.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( 0) | 19.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( 0) | 52.14% ( -0) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.02% |
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