SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
25.72% ( -0) | 25.9% ( 0) | 48.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( -0.01) | 53.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( -0.01) | 75.18% ( 0.01) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( -0.01) | 35.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% ( -0.01) | 72.75% ( 0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0) | 22.21% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% ( -0) | 55.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.38% |
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