Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Tula	Draw	FC Krasnodar
22.77% ( 0.12)	24.12% ( 0.24)	53.1% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

-0.89)

49.16% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

-0.81)

71.23% (

0.81)

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88% (

-0.38)

36.12% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1% (

-0.39)

72.9% (

0.39)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

-0.47)

18.46% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

-0.8)

49.64% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Tula 22.77%

FC Krasnodar 53.1%

Draw 24.12%

Arsenal Tula	Draw	FC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 22.77%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.1%