Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
