Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
42% ( -0.66)	24.97% ( 0.08)	33.02% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 57.12% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.82% (

-0.19)

46.18% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

-0.18)

68.48% (

0.18)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.39)

21.96% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

-0.6)

55.25% (

0.6)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.27)

26.81% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

0.35)

62.1% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 42.01%

Dynamo Moscow 33.02%

Draw 24.97%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.01%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.02%