Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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