SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
52.91% ( -0.31) | 24.18% ( 0.15) | 22.91% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.46) | 49.24% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.41) | 71.3% ( 0.42) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.29) | 18.56% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( -0.49) | 49.81% ( 0.49) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.11) | 36.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( -0.11) | 72.81% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.91% |
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