SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
59.52% ( 0.17) | 22.06% ( -0.04) | 18.41% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( 0.01) | 46.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( 0.02) | 68.31% ( -0.01) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( 0.06) | 15.07% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.41% ( 0.11) | 43.59% ( -0.11) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.13) | 38.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.12) | 75.52% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.41% |
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