Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
Result | ||
Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
51.53% ( -0.03) | 25.5% ( 0) | 22.97% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.6% ( 0.01) | 54.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.23% ( 0.01) | 75.77% ( -0.02) |
Krylia Sovetov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% ( -0.01) | 21.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.01% ( -0.01) | 53.99% ( 0.01) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% ( 0.03) | 38.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.41% ( 0.03) | 75.59% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
1-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.97% |
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