Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Orenburg | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Sochi | 1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 9.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
74.93% ( -0.1) | 15.51% ( 0.05) | 9.56% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.89% ( -0.08) | 36.11% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.78% ( -0.09) | 58.21% ( 0.09) |
Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.85% ( -0.04) | 8.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.43% ( -0.1) | 28.56% ( 0.1) |
Krylia Sovetov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.32% ( 0.04) | 45.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.53% ( 0.03) | 81.46% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
2-0 @ 11.69% 3-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 74.92% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.51% | 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 9.56% |
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