Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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