SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
39.42% ( -0.8) | 25.46% ( 0.26) | 35.11% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -1.08) | 47.92% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( -1.01) | 70.09% ( 1.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.89) | 24% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -1.28) | 58.26% ( 1.28) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.2) | 26.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.27) | 61.53% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.11% |
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