Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
