SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 29 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochi | 29 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 16 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | -14 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.35%) and 4-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-2 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 82.9% | 11.34% | 5.75% |
| Both teams to score 46.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.18% | 29.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.75% | 5.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.26% | 20.74% |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.35% | 50.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.89% | 85.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% 3-0 @ 11.35% 4-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 7.72% 4-1 @ 5.69% 5-0 @ 4.93% 5-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.63% 6-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.94% 6-1 @ 1.65% 5-2 @ 1.14% 7-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.43% Total : 82.89% | 1-1 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 2.67% 0-0 @ 2.66% Other @ 0.68% Total : 11.34% | 1-2 @ 1.81% 0-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.13% Total : 5.75% |
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