SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 80.7%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 6.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.71%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
80.7% ( -1.81) | 12.94% ( 1.09) | 6.36% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 43.59% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.35% ( -2.32) | 35.66% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( -2.62) | 57.72% ( 2.62) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.17% ( -0.83) | 6.83% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.84% ( -2.28) | 25.17% ( 2.28) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.78% ( 0.56) | 53.22% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.21% ( 0.35) | 86.79% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.26)1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.68)2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.27)5-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.52)5-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.34)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.84% Total : 80.7% | 1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.94% | 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.36% |
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