SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Krasnodar | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Khimki | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Khimki | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 6 | -4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
41.02% ( -0.11) | 26.68% ( 0.02) | 32.31% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( -0.06) | 53.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( -0.05) | 75.11% ( 0.05) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.08) | 25.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.11) | 60.67% ( 0.11) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( 0.03) | 30.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( 0.04) | 67.23% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.31% |
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