SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
24.81% ( -1.57) | 23.27% ( -0.1) | 51.93% ( 1.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( -0.93) | 43.47% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.92) | 65.86% ( 0.92) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -1.72) | 31.22% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -2.06) | 67.57% ( 2.06) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.27) | 16.78% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( 0.48) | 46.73% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.81% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 5.78% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.93% |
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