SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Orenburg |
60.55% ( -0.01) | 20.55% ( 0) | 18.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.63% ( 0.01) | 38.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.35% ( 0.01) | 60.65% ( -0.01) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.7% ( 0) | 12.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.93% | 38.06% ( 0) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( 0.02) | 33.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( 0.02) | 70.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.92% 3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.94% Total : 60.55% | 1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 18.9% |
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