SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 77.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 8.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
77.04% ( -0.02) | 14.39% ( 0.01) | 8.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.02) | 33.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.18% ( -0.02) | 55.82% ( 0.03) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( -0.01) | 7.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.84% ( -0.02) | 26.16% ( 0.03) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.02) | 46.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.06% ( 0.01) | 81.94% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% 3-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.79% 4-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 3% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 77.03% | 1-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 14.39% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 8.56% |
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