SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Fakel |
34.51% ( 0.3) | 26% ( -0.08) | 39.49% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.38) | 50.36% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.34) | 72.3% ( -0.34) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( 0.37) | 27.91% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( 0.47) | 63.53% ( -0.48) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.05) | 25.07% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( 0.08) | 59.75% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.49% |
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