Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochi in this match.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Rostov
47.8% ( -0.56)	24.76% ( 0.09)	27.43% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 54.71% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.06% (

-0.05)

47.94% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89% (

-0.04)

70.11% (

0.04)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.25)

20.1% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

-0.41)

52.35% (

0.41)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

0.34)

31.52% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08% (

0.4)

67.91% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Sochi 47.8%

Rostov 27.43%

Draw 24.76%

Sochi	Draw	Rostov
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.8%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.43%