Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
