SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Rostov |
58.63% ( 0.02) | 22.49% ( -0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( 0.02) | 47.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.02) | 69.36% ( -0.01) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( 0.01) | 15.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.15% ( 0.02) | 44.85% ( -0.02) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% | 38.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% ( -0) | 75.64% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.62% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.88% |
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