SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rostov | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Khimki | 29 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 29 | -21 | 29 |
| 15 | FC Ufa | 29 | -12 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 72.91% | 16.94% | 10.14% |
| Both teams to score 46.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% | 41.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% | 63.61% |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% | 9.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.26% | 32.74% |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.02% | 47.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.79% | 83.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 2-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 10.96% 3-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 5.67% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.63% 5-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.53% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.34% Total : 72.9% | 1-1 @ 8.06% 0-0 @ 4.74% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 16.94% | 0-1 @ 3.48% 1-2 @ 2.96% 0-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.43% Total : 10.14% |
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