Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
