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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
CM

Sochi
2 - 0
CSKA

Dordevic (72', 78')
Sarveli (10'), Melkadze (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carrascal (63'), Glebov (90+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and CSKA Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Khimki 0-2 Sochi
Sunday, November 13 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-1 CSKA
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawCSKA Moscow
39.81% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 25.83% (0.035 0.04) 34.36% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.55% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.169 -0.17)49.66% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.15 -0.15)71.67% (0.152 0.15)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.59% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-0.067 -0.07)59.08% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (-0.136 -0.14)27.67% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (-0.177 -0.18)63.22% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sochi 39.81%
    CSKA Moscow 34.36%
    Draw 25.83%
SochiDrawCSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.81%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Khimki 0-2 Sochi
Sunday, November 13 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, November 5 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 2-2 Ural
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 7-0 Sochi
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 2-0 Sochi
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 4-0 Lokomotiv
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-1 CSKA
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-1 CSKA
Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-2 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, October 16 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League


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