Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
Result | ||
Sochi | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
56.93% (![]() | 22.74% (![]() | 20.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% (![]() | 46.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% (![]() | 68.47% (![]() |
Sochi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.01% (![]() | 15.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% (![]() | 45.31% (![]() |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% (![]() | 36.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% (![]() | 73.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sochi | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
1-0 @ 10.79% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.33% |
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