SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
45.7% ( -0.03) | 27.58% | 26.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.81% ( 0.02) | 59.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.39% ( 0.02) | 79.61% ( -0.02) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0) | 25.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( -0) | 60.86% ( 0.01) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.04) | 38.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( 0.04) | 74.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.72% |
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