SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
12.39% ( 0.01) | 19.61% ( 0.02) | 68% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.61% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.03) | 47.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( -0.03) | 69.32% ( 0.03) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.31% ( 0) | 47.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17% ( 0) | 83% ( 0) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.01) | 12.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.84% ( -0.03) | 39.16% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 12.39% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.61% | 0-2 @ 12.89% 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 67.99% |
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