SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 2-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
22.86% ( 0.18) | 22.93% ( 0.06) | 54.21% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( -0.07) | 43.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( -0.07) | 66.34% ( 0.07) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 0.12) | 33.15% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% ( 0.13) | 69.76% ( -0.13) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.11) | 16.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( -0.19) | 45.58% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.86% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.21% |
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