SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
58.93% ( 0.29) | 22.08% ( -0.28) | 18.99% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 1.21) | 45.23% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 1.15) | 67.57% ( -1.15) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.5) | 15% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.54% ( 0.95) | 43.46% ( -0.94) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( 0.7) | 37.69% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.53% ( 0.68) | 74.47% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 58.92% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.99% |
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