Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
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