SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
49.89% ( 0.03) | 24.09% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.01) | 46.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.01) | 68.34% ( -0.01) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( 0.02) | 18.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.27% ( 0.03) | 49.73% ( -0.03) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.02) | 31.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( -0.02) | 68.03% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.02% |
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