SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
48% ( -0.25) | 26.62% ( -0.1) | 25.38% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.6) | 56.6% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( 0.48) | 77.58% ( -0.48) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.15) | 23.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( 0.21) | 57.7% ( -0.21) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.64) | 37.87% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( 0.62) | 74.64% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.64% Total : 25.38% |
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