Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partick Thistle in this match.
