SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
39.75% ( 0.05) | 25.67% ( -0) | 34.57% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% ( -0) | 48.94% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% ( -0) | 71.03% ( 0) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 0.02) | 24.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( 0.03) | 58.67% ( -0.03) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.03) | 27.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( -0.04) | 62.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.57% |
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