Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
