Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
